Airline industry would not achieve its goal of carbon neutrality in 2050

A study revealedó to achieve the goal of neutrality in broadcastón carbon increaseíto operating costs between a 8% and a 18% al 2050 for the industry toérea.

One of the objectives of the industry toéarea is to reduce your carbon footprint and achieve net zero emissions for 2050 mediate la implementationón of new technologiesías. A recent Bain study & Company recordsó which is unlikely to be achieved, especially if the tráI'm theéreo keeps growing más ráI ask that the world GDP.

2050: a distant and expensive goal

According to the consultant, Aerol's effortsíneas to decarbonize increaseán the operating costs between a 8% and a 18% for 2050 and erodeán significantly the máprofit margins. If we add to this the fact that sustainable aviation fuel pricesón for that añfollow himán being two to four times más higher than the historical averageórich jet fuel, the outlook is not favorable. At Bain they explain that a m pathás realistic to move forward in this process is relatedón with three ákey areas:

• Improve the efficiency of engines and aircraft:  It is a fundamental factor to advance in a sustainable and lasting industry over time.. This because, themselvesúin the investigationón, this allowíto reduce CO emissions₂ in a 43%. However, they assure that “the industry is unlikely to take these steps to replace fleets ahead of schedule”.
• Optimize operations both in the air and on the ground: incorporating sustainable aviation fuelón (SAF for its acronym in Englishés) on a larger scale, it will be possibleíto reduce CO emissions₂ even in a 23%. Nevertheless, The report reveals that, without a change in policiesícurrent government ethics, the total supply of PURE limit yourselfá approximately to 135 million tons métricks (Mt) on 2050, lo que equivale a aproximadamente el 35 % de la demanda proyectada de combustible para aviones a nivel mundial.
• Incorporar elementos sostenibles en la operación: para ello las aerolíneas pueden pensar en aviones ecológicos propulsados por hidrógeno o electricidad. However, es importante considerar que ambas tecnologías requieren de un alto nivel de inversión y de cambios sustanciales en la infraestructura aeroportuaria y la arquitectura de las aeronaves para permitirles reemplazar una parte sustancial de las flotas existentes en los prówe moan 30 años. Por esto se estima que su impacto podría disminuir en menos de 5% CO emissions₂ en la fecha estimada.

On the other hand, han surgido propuestas relacionadas con la compensate usón carbon as a solutionón alternativa para alcanzar la carbono neutralidad. Bain & Company indica que las aerolícompanies can offset residual emissions by purchasing bonds to reduce the impact of greenhouse gases, but clarify that it is notíenough to achieve the proposed goal. For this, the duty sectorá look for múmultiple solutions to decarbonizationón if you want to achieve the objectives. For it, The consultant highlights that the sector must:

• Develop a strategy to ensure an affordable supply of PURE. This may include investmentón in productionón of fuel (buys, constructionón o associationón) and the defense of a regulationón fair or subsidies for SAF.
• Rethink renovation plansófleet number, taking into account the cost of decarbonizationón and changes in the dinábit competitive, including the different regional mandates for the PURE.
• Mitigate increased operating costsón increasing cabin density, reviewing renewal cyclesófleet number, adjusting the use of it and the núgroup of seats, and reviewing network plans as measures that maximize services.

The debate remains open, but without a doubt despite the challengesíos, the industry toéarea is what Iás does and invests to achieve the objective of carbon neutral.